Ebook Free A Wish Upon the Stars: Tales from Verania

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A Wish Upon the Stars: Tales from Verania

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Product details

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Audible Audiobook

Listening Length: 18 hours and 27 minutes

Program Type: Audiobook

Version: Unabridged

Publisher: Dreamspinner Press LLC

Audible.com Release Date: November 28, 2018

Language: English, English

ASIN: B07KGJKBBD

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

“Dude. No worries. I’m Sam of Dragons. What the worst that could happen?”Imagine, if you will, the epic trilogy “Lord of the Rings,” but with the main characters being played by hormonal gay tenth graders.Mmmm. Delicious. Surprising. Annoying. Profound.The brilliance of TJ Klune’s grand finale to the Tales from Verania series is that it is both a complete spoof of and a deadly serious homage to the epic magical adventure genre, whether we’re talking Tolkein or Star Wars. It is hilarious and screwy and at moments salaciously gay; but also poignant and thoughtful and existential, forcing us to think about good and evil and love and fate and free will.TJ Klune is a unique young author, who has made his way in the drama-filled world of gay romance without ever giving up his distinctive, off-kilter voice. He has not reined in his writing style to please anyone, because he knows that people who like his work will be devoted and faithful to him (as I am). He has the uncanny ability to tap into emotions and to shift the tone of his prose on the turn of a dime. One moment you’re laughing out loud at some absurdity, and the next tears are welling up in your eyes as he slips a slim stiletto into your heart—not enough to kill, but enough to cause exactly the right amount of pain.All epic journeys, from the Odyssey to Harry Potter are voyages of self-discovery and transformation. Klune tackles all the tropes of this (literally) ancient genre and adds a distinctively gay sense of camp outrage. There is plenty of anger in this outrageousness—as there is in all of his books—but also an unabashedly romantic belief in the power of love as the driving force in the ability of good to conquer evil.There is also a very clear political sensibility in this book that, places it very precisely in 2018. The human issues with which Klune deals on this roller-coaster of emotional ups and downs are all too apparent in the strange, politically polarized world in which we all live today. Ultimately, that is the thing that makes this book, and this incredible, wonderful series, so good: this is a fantasy in which we can all see parts of ourselves.When I read my first Harry Pottery novel, in my 40s, I wished that I’d had those books when I was a teenager, just becoming aware of the fact that I was gay. Reading Klune’s Verania series in my early 60s, I am merely grateful that I am still the kind of gay man who desperately needs this sort of crazy perspective on the big things in life.

I realise now that the main theme of the four books is not really about a fantasy quest, or good vs evil, or adventure. The books' big message is about love, friendship, camaraderie, devotion, loyalty.Some readers will mention they don't care for Sam continually gas-bagging, that his brattiness, and cockiness is annoying ,and that he hogs all the pages. - but to my mind Sam is The Story (capitalised). He is the hinge, the centre-piece.Every character in the story has a strategic and important place revolving around Sam. I love Ryan's fierce and undying love for Sam, Gary is his usual beautiful glitter-drenched snarky self, Tiggy is lovable, Kevin is delightful, Randall isnt as grumpy - I just want to hug them all, and for longer than a minute.I forgive Klune for pinching a few phrases from the wonderful "Until You". I guess he did it For Reasons.The tension was almost too much for me. So many times I wanted to skip to the finish to see how it all ended. The story about Sam and his loved ones trying to return their country to a peaceful place was a fun, yet often heart-stopping read. I had to go away from the book every now and then, to recharge my batteries; It was such a non-stop roller coaster ride of wit and originality that my mind needed to stop and think it all over.

4.5 starsIt always makes me a little sad to know, from the start of a book I am reading, it will be the last time I get to be in the head of one of my favorite characters. With this one I soaked up every page and didn't want it to end but, it did. Then I remembered it's a book and I can always start from the beginning again lolThis book takes place after Sam returns from his time in the Dark Woods where he spent 11 months developing his magic with the Great White and the rest of the dragons. 11 months since he has been away from his home of Verania, which has now been taken over by Myrin and the other dark wizards. 11 months he has been away from friends and family. 11 months since he has been away from his cornerstone.Sam knows when he returns things are going to be different and his family and friends are all going to be angry with him. He hopes that in the end they can forgive him and understand his reason for leaving. After all he has a destiny to fulfill.This book brings the conclusion of the battle with Myrin and the darks and Sam finally fulfilling his destiny. "My path may have been set in stone, but stone crumbles, and sometimes we have to forge our own way through.”I love, love, love this book and this series as a whole. This book was a great end to Sam's perspective. I feel like part of his insane, fun, sassy posse. I traveled around with Sam and his crew and felt like part of the family. With Sam I went on adventures, was captured numerous amounts of times(really Sam you would think by book 4 you would know better lol), faced darks, listened to dreaded monologues, discovered first love, loss and heartbreak. Even though there was lots of sass there were also so many tender moments. Sam's love of his friends and family was one of beauty. We all knew Sam's story had to come to an end eventually, it has, and I love it all!*sidenote: I really look forward to reading Justin's perspective. It will be nice to get in his head and see if he actually has a personality going on. Plus we all know there will be a hefty dose of Sam in it. You know with him being Justin's best friend 5eva! )

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Ebook Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing: The State Space Approach (Springer Series in Statistics)

Ebook Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing: The State Space Approach (Springer Series in Statistics)

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Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing: The State Space Approach (Springer Series in Statistics)

Ebook Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing: The State Space Approach (Springer Series in Statistics)

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From the Back Cover

Exponential smoothing methods have been around since the 1950s, and are the most popular forecasting methods used in business and industry. Recently, exponential smoothing has been revolutionized with the introduction of a complete modeling framework incorporating innovations state space models, likelihood calculation, prediction intervals and procedures for model selection. In this book, all of the important results for this framework are brought together in a coherent manner with consistent notation. In addition, many new results and extensions are introduced and several application areas are examined in detail. Rob J. Hyndman is a Professor of Statistics and Director of the Business and Economic Forecasting Unit at Monash University, Australia. He is Editor-in-Chief of the International Journal of Forecasting, author of over 100 research papers in statistical science, and received the 2007 Moran medal from the Australian Academy of Science for his contributions to statistical research. Anne B. Koehler is a Professor of Decision Sciences and the Panuska Professor of Business Administration at Miami University, Ohio. She has numerous publications, many of which are on forecasting models for seasonal time series and exponential smoothing methods. J.Keith Ord is a Professor in the McDonough School of Business, Georgetown University, Washington DC.  He has authored over 100 research papers in statistics and its applications and ten books including Kendall's Advanced Theory of Statistics. Ralph D. Snyder is an Associate Professor in the Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics at Monash University, Australia. He has extensive publications on business forecasting and inventory management. He has played a leading role in the establishment of the class of innovations state space models for exponential smoothing.

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Product details

Series: Springer Series in Statistics

Paperback: 362 pages

Publisher: Springer; 2008 edition (August 15, 2008)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 3540719164

ISBN-13: 978-3540719168

Product Dimensions:

6.1 x 0.9 x 9.2 inches

Shipping Weight: 1.5 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.3 out of 5 stars

5 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#955,847 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Groundbreaking approach to exponential smoothing. I found the most useful information to be 1) the inclusion of all 30 ETS models (although some models have limited utility) into a standardized framework, 2) prediction intervals for most ETS models, 3) constraints for the model parameters, and 4) models for choosing the best of the 30 models for each data set.1) The book goes beyond the traditional Holt-Winters, double- and single-exponential smoothing to incorporate 30 potential models. CC Pegels' models are included in this group.2) The prediction intervals have been very helpful in being able to set safety stock levels. In the past, I could only rely on regression models for such prediction intervals.3) There is also a chapter dedicated to parameter constraints that is often overlooked in exponential smoothing.4) The models for choosing which of the 30 models to employ for a given data set help to hone in on the best projectionsI found the book to have covered all major aspects of Exponential Smoothing. I can't imagine employing ETS models without it.

Hugely underrated book. I used it to help me implement my own forecasting software. The combination of theory and algorithm descriptions were perfect for what I needed.I have the Kindle version, which is also great quality.I would really like to see an updated version of this book since it's going on 8-9 years old now. I wasn't a fan of the later chapters since they seemed to be just randomly thrown in there and not as useful as the earlier chapters. I was also hoping to get more out of the later chapters that dealt with ARIMA models and information filters, but I admit that my mathematical maturity wasn't enough at the time of reading for it to make sense to me. For those chapters to be useful you need a good linear algebra background and some familiarity with stochastic processes at a somewhat advanced level.

This work provides for exponential smoothing what Box and Jenkins "Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control" provided for ARIMA models -- an accessible theoretical framework.Exponential smoothing is a widely used forecasting method that does well in forecasting competitions because it's robust and flexible.The fact that Hyndman also has a nice R package implementing this framework is an added plus. [...]

Currently way over my head. I have some of Hyndman's other titles and I was ok with those. Exponential smoothing is the method used in the new Excel 2016 forecast module so worth getting up to speed on.

Exponential smoothing is a very important topic in time series and Hyndman et al. (2008) provide an accessible introduction to the topic (in Part I and II) and present recent advances (in Part III) on this topic.The authors not only provide thorough exposition on the methodological development of exponential smoothing, but also incorporate a number of practical examples ranging from inventory control, finance and economic applications, which clearly demonstrate the utiliity of their techniques.The techniques presented in this book are potentially very useful to people working in a variety of fields. Business analysts building models and statisticians trying to understand how exponential smoothing method may be extended or generalized to other types of data can all benefit from this book.In addition to presenting interesting and usable ideas in Part IV, the authors' presentation is very clear and easily read. Overall, this is a very good book.

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Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing: The State Space Approach (Springer Series in Statistics) PDF

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Ebook Free Discovering Arguments: An Introduction to Critical Thinking, Writing, and Style (4th Edition) 4th (fourth) Edition

Ebook Free Discovering Arguments: An Introduction to Critical Thinking, Writing, and Style (4th Edition) 4th (fourth) Edition

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Discovering Arguments: An Introduction to Critical Thinking, Writing, and Style (4th Edition) 4th (fourth) Edition

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• Sales Rank: #3183366 in Books
• Binding: Paperback

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Discovering Arguments: An Introduction to Critical Thinking, Writing, and Style (4th Edition) 4th (fourth) Edition PDF

Discovering Arguments: An Introduction to Critical Thinking, Writing, and Style (4th Edition) 4th (fourth) Edition PDF

Discovering Arguments: An Introduction to Critical Thinking, Writing, and Style (4th Edition) 4th (fourth) Edition PDF

Discovering Arguments: An Introduction to Critical Thinking, Writing, and Style (4th Edition) 4th (fourth) Edition PDF

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